The Role of Urinary Neutrophil Gelatinase-Associated Lipocalin in Predicting Acute Kidney Dysfunction in Patients With Liver Cirrhosis

Background Early detection of acute kidney dysfunction (AKD) in cirrhotic patients is crucial. Urinary neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (uNGAL) has been identified as an early marker of AKD. The aim of the study was to evaluate serial uNGAL as a marker and predictor of AKD in liver cirrhosis patients. Methods Serial uNGAL and serum creatinine (sCr) levels were measured daily during the first 6 days of admission. Furthermore, sCr levels and the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) were measured after 3 - 6 weeks. The uNGAL levels in patients with and without abnormal sCr were compared. Results Fifty-seven consecutive cirrhotic patients were enrolled in the study. Eight of 14 patients (57%) who developed abnormal uNGAL level also had abnormal sCr level (odds ratio (OR) = 3.4, 95% CI: 0.99 - 12.03, P = 0.05). After 6 weeks, 41% of patients exhibited an abnormal uNGAL level and abnormal sCr (OR = 6.7, 95% CI: 1.55 - 28.85, P = 0.01). Area under the curve (AUROC) and the best cut-off point for highest NGAL in 6 days were 0.64 and 72.55 ng/mL, respectively. Conclusions There is a modest association between highest uNGAL in the first 6 days of admission and sCr at week 6 in all participants. This may indicate that in cirrhotic patients, uNGAL level during the first 6 days of admission has a potential predictability for the development of high sCr and low eGFR 6 weeks later. The AUROC of 0.64 quantifies the overall ability of uNGAL to discriminate between those individuals who will have a raised sCr levels and those who will not.